Analyzing the Football Sports Outcomes by the Two Types Branching Markov process

Real Madrid Football Club as a Case Study

Authors

  • Bestoon M. Abdullkarim Department of Statistics and Informatics, College of Administration and Economics, Salahaddin University-Erbil, Iraq https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4089-6410
  • Azhin M. Khudhur Department of Statistics and Informatics, College of Administration and Economics, Salahaddin University-Erbil, Iraq https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0524-4990
  • Dler H. Kadir Department of Statistics and Informatics, College of Administration and Economics, Salahaddin University-Erbil, Iraq, Department of Business Administration, Cihan University-Erbil, Kurdistan Region, Iraq https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5196-4457

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24086/cuesj.v9n1y2025.pp8-13

Keywords:

Two-state Markov Process, Two-type branching process, Probability generating function, Trophy, Win and lose

Abstract

In this research the football sport outcomes are analyzed by the two-type branching Markov Process, assuming that the outcomes occur as a Poisson process and they described by the two-state Markov Process. For this study, the data about the number of losses, wins, and trophy results of the Real Madrid football club for 24 years (2000 – 2024) are obtained from the KOOORA Website. This study aimed to determine the probabilities of two state outcomes, the expected length of time the process stays in each state, and the expected number of the two types for successive periods. In conclusion, the expected number of Real Madrid football sports outcomes for successive game times are continually decreasing until the number of games

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Author Biographies

Bestoon M. Abdullkarim, Department of Statistics and Informatics, College of Administration and Economics, Salahaddin University-Erbil, Iraq

Bestoon Merza is a dedicated statistician who works in the Department of Statistics and Informatics, College of Administration and Economics, Salahaddin University-Erbil, Iraq. His research interests lie in probability, stochastic processes, quality control, reliability, and applied statistics. Over the years, he has worked to advance statistical methodologies and their applications, striving to make meaningful contributions to the field.

Azhin M. Khudhur, Department of Statistics and Informatics, College of Administration and Economics, Salahaddin University-Erbil, Iraq

Azhin M. Khudhur works at the Department of Statistics and Informatics, College of Administration and Economics, Salahaddin University-Erbil, Iraq. Her research interest is statistics.

Dler H. Kadir, Department of Statistics and Informatics, College of Administration and Economics, Salahaddin University-Erbil, Iraq, Department of Business Administration, Cihan University-Erbil, Kurdistan Region, Iraq

Dler K. Hussien is currently a full-time Assistant Professor at the Department of Statistics, College of Administrative and Economics at Salaheddin University-Erbil. I received my Ph.D. degree in the Department of Probability and Statistics at the University of Sheffield in the UK, an M.Sc. degree in Statistics from the University of Sulaymaniyah in Iraq, and a B.Sc. Degree in Statistics from Salahaddin University-Erbil. My research interests include Bayesian inference, MCMC, and Statistical Modeling.

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Published

2025-01-20

How to Cite

1.
Abdullkarim BM, Khudhur AM, Kadir DH. Analyzing the Football Sports Outcomes by the Two Types Branching Markov process: Real Madrid Football Club as a Case Study. Cihan U Erbil SCI J [Internet]. 2025 Jan. 20 [cited 2026 Jun. 23];9(1):8-13. Available from: https://journals.cihanuniversity.edu.iq/index.php/cuesj/article/view/1333

Issue

Vol. 9 No. 1 (2025)

Section

Research Article

License

Copyright (c) 2025 Bestoon Mirza, Azhin M. Khudhur, Dler K. Hussein

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